Greetings from Payday Report’s temporary headquarters in Rio de Janeiro, where we are four days away from the second round of the Brazilian presidential election.
AtlasIntel: Lula in the lead 52% – 46%
A new poll from AtlasIntel shows Lula leading 52% to 46%. Although political observers have doubted the accuracy of the polls since Bolsonaro began encouraging supporters not to cooperate with pollsters, there is no doubt that the election is very close.
Employer bullying complaints quadruple in Brazil ahead of 2022 election
Under Brazil’s 1988 constitution, it is illegal for employers to talk to their employees about how they will vote in federal elections.
Already in this election cycle, 903 complaints have been filed by workers against employers for intimidating workers so far, according to Folha de São Paulo. Complaints are nearly four times higher than in the 2018 election.
Several senior union leaders also told Payday Report that many employers threaten to fire employees if they don’t support Bolsonaro and reward employees who support him.
“Bolsonaro supporters are desperate and they are turning to intimidation,” said Miguel Torres, president of Força Sindical, which has 2 million members. “We are seeing an unprecedented movement of employers breaking the law ahead of the election.”
Donate to help us report the last four days of the election
We are four days away from the Brazilian presidential election on Sunday, October 30. It will be a sprint and we need your help to cover it.
Brazil is the fourth largest democracy in the world, and the threat of a coup and electoral violence has become a real possibility for many Brazilians. Just this week, a former congressman here in Rio engaged in a shootout with federal police, raising fears of further election-related violence.
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Minas Gerais seen as key to winning elections
No presidential campaign has ever won Brazil without winning the southeastern state of Minas Gerais. A large state with a population of 20 million, the state’s countryside has been extremely conservative for many years. Meanwhile, major cities like Belo Horizonte and Juiz de Fora tended to vote more gradually, leading some political observers to dub it the “Pennsylvania of Brazil”.
In the final days of the campaign, both sides focused heavily on the campaign in Minas Gerais. The Guardian’s Tom Phillips was on the ground in Minas Gerais this week and had this dispatch:
Armed with red paintbrushes and a bucket of glue, activists marched through the streets of Parrot Hill pasting urgent warnings on the walls of what has become the front line in the fight for Brazil’s future.
“Bolsonaro hates the poor,” read one poster. “Bolsonaro only tells lies. He’s the father of lies,” said another, asking residents of one of Belo Horizonte’s biggest favelas: “Are you really going to vote for him?
Nil Caesar, one of the air display campaigners, said the president’s disregard for the poor and dramatic relaxation of gun laws meant that their pre-election operation was literally a matter of life and death for disadvantaged young people in the community.
“I’m afraid it will end in bloodshed…and the problem is that the blood will be black, favela blood,” the 46-year-old activist said as his team plastered the red brick houses of Parrot Hill with their posters. “We are trying to ensure our survival.” “
Strikes and news in the United States
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